Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 3.263314 3.887464 4.634126 5.603741 6.845217 8.403186 1.054140e+01
2024-10-06 2.371827 3.117264 4.132485 5.658947 7.975259 11.501079 1.758304e+01
2024-10-13 1.896307 2.638945 3.731642 5.532503 8.590267 13.924181 2.488620e+01
2024-10-20 1.659524 2.420940 3.616360 5.750068 9.761233 17.729164 3.731908e+01
2024-10-27 1.429034 2.157700 3.357990 5.634553 10.272108 20.527554 5.006301e+01
2024-11-03 1.342964 2.104824 3.427760 6.114700 12.124997 27.273343 8.094397e+01
2024-11-10 1.233690 1.991249 3.363247 6.310283 13.444840 33.636197 1.209013e+02
2024-11-17 1.157219 1.921127 3.362116 6.633612 15.218939 42.715616 1.923669e+02
2024-11-24 1.054332 1.786564 3.209779 6.577885 15.983256 49.254615 2.707322e+02
2024-12-01 0.980939 1.696910 3.131529 6.675512 17.245182 58.964288 4.125630e+02
2024-12-08 0.912607 1.607685 3.038557 6.712739 18.357296 69.426669 6.282005e+02
2024-12-15 0.871344 1.566615 3.042226 7.003482 20.489402 87.828699 1.135756e+03
2024-12-22 0.795196 1.455904 2.897091 6.926108 21.594330 104.809741 2.032637e+03
2024-12-29 0.734108 1.371239 2.803954 6.997274 23.501328 132.994244 4.668469e+03
2025-01-05 0.669412 1.269203 2.649165 6.832037 24.332397 156.483761 1.002518e+04
2025-01-12 0.635045 1.228471 2.636790 7.116637 27.554607 215.100424 4.606462e+04
2025-01-19 0.585415 1.146892 2.505881 6.965427 28.512250 255.360690 1.886153e+05
2025-01-26 0.572367 1.147025 2.588207 7.595407 34.565290 410.683502 3.751448e+08
2025-02-02 0.545989 1.112246 2.569656 7.853105 38.800746 586.763983 NaN
2025-02-09 0.527094 1.092854 2.590495 8.280446 44.957078 921.833375 NaN
2025-02-16 0.495097 1.037418 2.497567 8.206676 47.296517 1197.278427 NaN
2025-02-23 0.471643 1.000677 2.454013 8.335944 51.719009 1737.660535 NaN
2025-03-02 0.448228 0.961423 2.396416 8.385274 55.666210 2487.978553 NaN